Atletico San Luis 2-0 Puebla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 3 Nov 2024

Atletico San Luis
2-0 HT 1-0
Puebla
📅03/11/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Atletico San Luis vs Puebla Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.17
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
54%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+3.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico San Luis v Puebla — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico San Luis EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Puebla EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +2%
1.60/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.68
+51% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.0 Crosses 16.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3

Atletico San Luis vs Puebla Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico San Luis
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Puebla
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
293 Passes 338
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 4-0 HT 2-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
19.08.2023 Puebla Puebla 1-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
03.02.2023 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-0 HT 0-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
31.07.2022 Puebla Puebla 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK
14.03.2022 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 2-1 HT 1-0 Puebla Puebla MEK
11.09.2021 Puebla Puebla 2-2 HT 0-1 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis MEK

Atletico San Luis 2-0 Puebla — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico San Luis
2-0
AWAY Puebla
1.35 xG 0.26
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 7
638 Passes 325
89% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 13
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atletico San Luis vs Puebla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico San Luis saw off Puebla 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Atletico San Luis as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Atletico San Luis had 63% of the ball to Puebla's 37%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.35 to 0.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico San Luis had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atletico San Luis and 0.67 for Puebla.

What was the final score of Atletico San Luis vs Puebla?

Atletico San Luis 2-0 Puebla in the Mexico - Primera on 03/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico San Luis vs Puebla?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico San Luis win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Atletico San Luis 53%, draw 23%, Puebla 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico San Luis) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico San Luis) ✗ Over 2.5
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