Queretaro 3-2 Tigres — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.13
2-3 Goals
39%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
13.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 31% vs market 24.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
33%
+3.2pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.9pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -62% / -62%
1.36/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.97
+3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -58%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
19.8 Crosses 13.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
3-2
AWAY Tigres
2.07 xG 2.51
16 Total Shots 25
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 11
174 Passes 397
19 Box Touches 29
19 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Tigres
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queretaro nicked a narrow win over Tigres 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Queretaro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 16-25, expected goals 2.07 to 2.51 — on chances, Tigres could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Tigres?

Queretaro 3-2 Tigres in the Mexico - Primera on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Tigres?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tigres win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 36%, draw 25%, Tigres 40%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tigres) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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