Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 Polessya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
7.18
Draw
28%
4.34
Away
50%
1.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.27
No
57%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
12%
+10.6pp
28%
Draw
20%
+7.9pp
50%
Away Win
68%
-18.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
60%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Polessya EU Bookmakers 72%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.88/2.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.85
+12% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
257 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Polessya
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.03.2025 Polessya Polessya 3-1 HT 2-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
31.08.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-4 HT 1-3 Polessya Polessya UKR
30.03.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-4 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
16.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1-2
AWAY Polessya
4 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Polessya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 4-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 2.00 for Polessya.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Polessya?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-2 Polessya in the Ukraine - Premier League on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Polessya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 22%, draw 28%, Polessya 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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