Polessya 3-1 Chornomorets Odessa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
19%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.74
Over 2.5
39%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
68%
-13.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.3pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.8pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polessya EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 14%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.70/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.96
-19% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -1%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
396 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polessya
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
31.08.2024 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-4 HT 1-3 Polessya Polessya UKR
30.03.2024 Polessya Polessya 1-4 HT 0-0 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
16.09.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 HT 1-0 Polessya Polessya UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polessya
3-1
AWAY Chornomorets Odessa
4 Total Shots 1
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Polessya vs Chornomorets Odessa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polessya got the better of Chornomorets Odessa 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Polessya as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 4-1.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chornomorets Odessa led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Polessya and 2.00 for Chornomorets Odessa.

What was the final score of Polessya vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Polessya 3-1 Chornomorets Odessa in the Ukraine - Premier League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polessya vs Chornomorets Odessa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polessya win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Polessya 55%, draw 26%, Chornomorets Odessa 20%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polessya) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polessya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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