Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Kryvbas KR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 6 Mar 2025

📅06/03/2025 · 🕒19:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+5.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.7pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Kryvbas KR EU Bookmakers 16%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.27/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/2.07
+30% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
408 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Kryvbas KR
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
01.09.2024 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-1 HT 0-1 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
03.03.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 5-2 HT 2-1 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
20.08.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 3-3 HT 2-3 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
12.03.2023 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR 0-3 HT 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk UKR
28.08.2022 Shakhtar Donetsk Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 HT 0-0 Kryvbas KR Kryvbas KR UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
1-1
AWAY Kryvbas KR
17 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk and Kryvbas KR couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Shakhtar Donetsk carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 17-6.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.00 for Kryvbas KR.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR?

Shakhtar Donetsk 1-1 Kryvbas KR in the Ukraine - Premier League on 06/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kryvbas KR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 60%, draw 22%, Kryvbas KR 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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