Greenville Triumph 3-3 Portland Hearts of Pine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 2 Aug 2026

📅02/08/2026 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.8pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.22/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.33
-31% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
17.8 Crosses 16.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.13 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
246 Passes 308
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2026 Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
04.09.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-3 HT 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
17.07.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
3-3
AWAY Portland Hearts of Pine
2.60 xG 1.94
29 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 3
275 Passes 306
40 Box Touches 18
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Portland Hearts of Pine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph and Portland Hearts of Pine couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, shots finished 29-15, expected goals 2.60 to 1.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Portland Hearts of Pine led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greenville Triumph and 2.33 for Portland Hearts of Pine.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Greenville Triumph 3-3 Portland Hearts of Pine in the USA - USL League 1 on 02/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Portland Hearts of Pine?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 38%, draw 28%, Portland Hearts of Pine 34%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Greenville Triumph)
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