Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Greenville Triumph — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 24 May 2026

📅24/05/2026 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.5pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 38%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.43/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.39
+92% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -8%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 79%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
16.5 Crosses 20.7
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Greenville Triumph
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.65 xG 1.20
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
304 Passes 264
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2025 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 2-3 HT 1-1 Portland Hearts of Pine USL1
17.07.2025 Portland Hearts of Pine 3-1 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portland Hearts of Pine
1-1
AWAY Greenville Triumph
1.21 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
315 Passes 209
76% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portland Hearts of Pine and Greenville Triumph shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Portland Hearts of Pine at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portland Hearts of Pine had 57% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 43%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.21 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portland Hearts of Pine had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.50 for Greenville Triumph.

What was the final score of Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph?

Portland Hearts of Pine 1-1 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portland Hearts of Pine vs Greenville Triumph?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portland Hearts of Pine win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Portland Hearts of Pine 41%, draw 29%, Greenville Triumph 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portland Hearts of Pine) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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