Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Charlotte Independence v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals
Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Forward Madison
USL1
Charlotte Independence 3-1 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics
Charlotte Independence saw off Forward Madison 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Charlotte Independence as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (62%) came in.
On the day, Charlotte Independence had 52% of the ball to Forward Madison's 48%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.14 to 1.18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Forward Madison led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Charlotte Independence and 1.33 for Forward Madison.
What was the final score of Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
Charlotte Independence 3-1 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 24/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Charlotte Independence vs Forward Madison?
Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte Independence win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Charlotte Independence 50%, draw 25%, Forward Madison 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Charlotte Independence), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.