Academia Rebeja U19 1-4 Kairat U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
49%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
24%
2.95
6+ Goals
10%
8.79
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.38 — our 28% vs market 17.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
7.79
1/2
6%
20.85
1/X
7%
16.2
X/1
9%
10.7
X/2
12%
3.89
X/X
9%
6.15
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.97
2/X
9%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
49%
Away Win
59%
-10.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+10.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-10.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academia Rebeja U19 EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat U19 EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academia Rebeja U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kairat U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
18.09.2024 Kairat U19 Kairat U19 2-1 HT 1-0 Academia Rebeja U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academia Rebeja U19
1-4
AWAY Kairat U19
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Academia Rebeja U19 vs Kairat U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kairat U19 swept aside Academia Rebeja U19 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kairat U19 as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Academia Rebeja U19 vs Kairat U19?

Academia Rebeja U19 1-4 Kairat U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academia Rebeja U19 vs Kairat U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Academia Rebeja U19 26%, draw 25%, Kairat U19 49%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kairat U19) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kairat U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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