Lille U19 2-1 Real Madrid U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

Lille U19
2-1 HT 2-0
Real Madrid U19
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

Lille U19 vs Real Madrid U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.87
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
47%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.83
2-3 Goals
37%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+1.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.1pp
47%
Away Win
55%
-7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lille U19 v Real Madrid U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lille U19 EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 59%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
1.16/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.33/1.31
-34% / +78% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / -24%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
257 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
12.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.2
6.7 Crosses 30.6
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8

Lille U19 2-1 Real Madrid U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lille U19
2-1
AWAY Real Madrid U19
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lille U19 vs Real Madrid U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lille U19 nicked a narrow win over Real Madrid U19 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Real Madrid U19 at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Lille U19 had 44% of the ball to Real Madrid U19's 56%, shots finished 12-17.

What was the final score of Lille U19 vs Real Madrid U19?

Lille U19 2-1 Real Madrid U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lille U19 vs Real Madrid U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lille U19 24%, draw 29%, Real Madrid U19 47%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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