Aston Villa U19 0-1 Bayern München U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

Aston Villa U19
0-1 HT 0-0
Bayern München U19
📅02/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2024/2025

Aston Villa U19 vs Bayern München U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.63
Over 2.5
60%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.39
No
44%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.47
2-3 Goals
33%
2.12
4-5 Goals
27%
2.51
6+ Goals
17%
5.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.1pp
44%
BTTS No
32%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa U19 v Bayern München U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa U19 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +78%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.5
– Crosses 16.3
– Yellow Cards 2.9

Aston Villa U19 0-1 Bayern München U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa U19
0-1
AWAY Bayern München U19
0.64 xG 1.39
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 2
335 Passes 243
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aston Villa U19 vs Bayern München U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayern München U19 nicked a narrow win over Aston Villa U19 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayern München U19 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aston Villa U19 had 57% of the ball to Bayern München U19's 43%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.64 to 1.39.

What was the final score of Aston Villa U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Aston Villa U19 0-1 Bayern München U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa U19 vs Bayern München U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa U19 37%, draw 19%, Bayern München U19 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayern München U19) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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