Shakhtar Donetsk U19 0-3 Atalanta U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.33
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.24
2-3 Goals
46%
1.98
4-5 Goals
20%
2.71
6+ Goals
11%
6.83
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
39%
-6.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.2pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.2pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk U19 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta U19 EU Bookmakers 40%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -51% / -51%
0.61/0.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.62
-63% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
360 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Atalanta U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
11.12.2019 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 1-2 HT 0-1 Atalanta U19 Atalanta U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk U19
0-3
AWAY Atalanta U19
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk U19 vs Atalanta U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta U19 swept aside Shakhtar Donetsk U19 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Atalanta U19 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk U19 had 63% of the ball to Atalanta U19's 37%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk U19 vs Atalanta U19?

Shakhtar Donetsk U19 0-3 Atalanta U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk U19 vs Atalanta U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atalanta U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk U19 33%, draw 29%, Atalanta U19 38%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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