Buducnost U19 4-1 Dinamo Tbilisi U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
2.43
Over
48%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No Pick
53%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
27%
5.14
2-3
39%
1.96
4-5
24%
2.73
6+
10%
7.01
Value flag · 0-1 at 5.14 — our 27% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
7%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
19%
5.22
X/2
16%
6.65
X/X
14%
5.77
2/1
5%
22.3
2/2
9%
4.07
2/X
4%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
32%
+0.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
62%
-14.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-17.4pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+17.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buducnost U19 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi U19 EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buducnost U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
18.09.2024 Dinamo Tbilisi U19 Dinamo Tbilisi U19 3-2 HT 1-2 Buducnost U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buducnost U19
4-1
AWAY Dinamo Tbilisi U19
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Buducnost U19 vs Dinamo Tbilisi U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buducnost U19 cruised past Dinamo Tbilisi U19 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Buducnost U19 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Buducnost U19 had 41% of the ball to Dinamo Tbilisi U19's 59%, shots finished 11-18.

What was the final score of Buducnost U19 vs Dinamo Tbilisi U19?

Buducnost U19 4-1 Dinamo Tbilisi U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buducnost U19 vs Dinamo Tbilisi U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buducnost U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Buducnost U19 44%, draw 24%, Dinamo Tbilisi U19 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buducnost U19) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buducnost U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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