Sarajevo U19 2-0 Academy Pandev U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
2.15
Over Pick
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
25%
4.12
2-3
40%
1.85
4-5
24%
3.05
6+
11%
9.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.17
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.6
X/1
12%
4.07
X/2
11%
9.35
X/X
11%
5.68
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
13%
6.78
2/X
8%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
56%
-9.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
30%
Away Win
21%
+8.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.0pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarajevo U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Academy Pandev U19 EU Bookmakers 25%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
375 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarajevo U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Academy Pandev U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.09.2024 Academy Pandev U19 2-2 HT 0-1 Sarajevo U19 Sarajevo U19 UEGL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarajevo U19
2-0
AWAY Academy Pandev U19
59% Ball Possession 41%
25 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sarajevo U19 vs Academy Pandev U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarajevo U19 beat Academy Pandev U19 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sarajevo U19 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Sarajevo U19 had 59% of the ball to Academy Pandev U19's 41%, shots finished 25-6.

What was the final score of Sarajevo U19 vs Academy Pandev U19?

Sarajevo U19 2-0 Academy Pandev U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarajevo U19 vs Academy Pandev U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarajevo U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sarajevo U19 46%, draw 24%, Academy Pandev U19 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarajevo U19), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sarajevo U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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