Stjarnan U19 3-2 UCD U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
33%
3.72
Away
33%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.43
Over Pick
50%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 50%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
26%
+6.9pp
33%
Draw
23%
+10.0pp
33%
Away Win
50%
-17.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stjarnan U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY UCD U19 EU Bookmakers 55%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY UCD U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
3 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
18.09.2024 UCD U19 3-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan U19 Stjarnan U19 UEGL
POST-MATCH Stjarnan U19 vs UCD U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stjarnan U19 edged past UCD U19 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Stjarnan U19 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Stjarnan U19 vs UCD U19 ?

Stjarnan U19 3-2 UCD U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stjarnan U19 vs UCD U19 ?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stjarnan U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Stjarnan U19 33%, draw 33%, UCD U19 33%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
2 Oct 2024
15:00 Aston Villa U19 vs Bayern München U19 Analysis →
15:00 Shakhtar Donetsk U19 vs Atalanta U19 Analysis →
15:00 Girona U19 vs Feyenoord U19 Analysis →
15:00 Dinamo Zagreb U19 vs Monaco U19 Analysis →
15:00 2 Korriku U19 vs Bylis U19 Analysis →
15:00 Academia Rebeja U19 vs Kairat U19 Analysis →