Sturm Graz U19 1-1 Club Brugge U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 2 Oct 2024

📅02/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.99
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
2.51
Over
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1
18%
5.45
2-3
42%
2.0
4-5
25%
2.67
6+
15%
6.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.7pp
33%
Draw
24%
+9.0pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-5.4pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz U19 EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Club Brugge U19 EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +112% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz U19
1-1
AWAY Club Brugge U19
52% Ball Possession 48%
Total Shots 4
Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz U19 vs Club Brugge U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz U19 and Club Brugge U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Sturm Graz U19 had 52% of the ball to Club Brugge U19's 48%.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz U19 vs Club Brugge U19?

Sturm Graz U19 1-1 Club Brugge U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 02/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz U19 vs Club Brugge U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Club Brugge U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz U19 27%, draw 33%, Club Brugge U19 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Club Brugge U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Club Brugge U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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