Uganda Police vs Express Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Uganda Police v Express — Team-Based Signals
Uganda Police vs Express Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Uganda Police
UGA
1-2
HT 1-1
Express
UGA
Uganda Police 2-1 Express — Actual Match Statistics
Uganda Police edged past Express 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Uganda Police as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Uganda Police had 51% of the ball to Express's 49%, shots finished 11-10.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Express led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Uganda Police and 1.75 for Express.
What was the final score of Uganda Police vs Express?
Uganda Police 2-1 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 02/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Uganda Police vs Express?
Before kick-off our model rated a Uganda Police win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Uganda Police 41%, draw 34%, Express 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Uganda Police), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.