Elgin City 1-0 Stranraer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
23%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.85
No
57%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.93
2-3 Goals
33%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.98
6+ Goals
8%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 34% vs market 28.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.7pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
25%
-2.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
50%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS No
50%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stranraer EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -18%
1.91/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.84
+16% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -26%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 3.0
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stranraer
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
4 Corners 2
24.08.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.03.2024 Stranraer Stranraer 1-2 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
06.01.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
04.11.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 2-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
05.08.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-1 HT 0-1 Stranraer Stranraer İK2
22.04.2023 Stranraer Stranraer 3-1 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Stranraer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City squeezed past Stranraer 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Elgin City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stranraer led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Elgin City and 1.67 for Stranraer.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Stranraer?

Elgin City 1-0 Stranraer in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Stranraer?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elgin City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 47%, draw 30%, Stranraer 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elgin City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elgin City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İK2 More Scotland - 2nd Division
2 Nov 2024
18:00 Clyde vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Analysis →
18:00 Peterhead vs Spartans Analysis →
18:00 Edinburgh City vs Forfar Athletic Analysis →
18:00 East Fife vs Stirling Albion Analysis →