Middlesbrough 0-3 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 2 Nov 2024

Middlesbrough
0-3 HT 0-1
Coventry
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - Championship – 2024/2025

Middlesbrough vs Coventry Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.18
Over 2.5
47%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.29
2-3 Goals
40%
1.87
4-5 Goals
23%
2.98
6+ Goals
10%
9.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.29 — our 27% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.32
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
15%
4.31
X/2
9%
8.54
X/X
8%
5.59
2/1
7%
21.45
2/2
8%
5.98
2/X
11%
14.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
42%
+11.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
58%
-11.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.8pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Middlesbrough v Coventry — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.69/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.26
-12% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
485 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
21.0 Crosses 17.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Middlesbrough vs Coventry Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Middlesbrough
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Coventry
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.03
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
464 Passes 298
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.01.2024 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-3 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
12.08.2023 Coventry Coventry 3-0 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
17.05.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 0-1 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
14.05.2023 Coventry Coventry 0-0 HT 0-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL
08.05.2023 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough 1-1 HT 1-1 Coventry Coventry İNCL
01.10.2022 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 1-0 Middlesbrough Middlesbrough İNCL

Middlesbrough 0-3 Coventry — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough
0-3
AWAY Coventry
0.92 xG 2.46
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
421 Passes 424
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
16 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coventry ran out comfortable winners over Middlesbrough 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Middlesbrough at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Middlesbrough had 50% of the ball to Coventry's 50%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 0.92 to 2.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coventry led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Middlesbrough and 1.50 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough vs Coventry?

Middlesbrough 0-3 Coventry in the England - Championship on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Middlesbrough win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough 50%, draw 27%, Coventry 23%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Middlesbrough), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Middlesbrough) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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