Basel 5-0 Winterthur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.47
2-3 Goals
39%
2.01
4-5 Goals
28%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.55
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
20.6
X/1
22%
3.6
X/2
6%
17.5
X/X
9%
8.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
20.6
2/2
7%
12.7
2/X
7%
20.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.6 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-10.2pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.8pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+6.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.5pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basel EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Winterthur EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -15%
2.24/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.92
-9% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
424 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
21.2 Crosses 10.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basel
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Winterthur
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.06 xG 0.63
58% Ball Possession 43%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
458 Passes 293
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
32 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-6 HT 0-3 Basel Basel İSV
16.03.2024 Basel Basel 1-1 HT 0-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
30.01.2024 Winterthur Winterthur 1-3 HT 0-1 Basel Basel İSV
30.07.2023 Basel Basel 5-2 HT 1-1 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
30.04.2023 Winterthur Winterthur 1-4 HT 1-2 Basel Basel İSV
01.04.2023 Basel Basel 2-0 HT 1-0 Winterthur Winterthur İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Basel
5-0
AWAY Winterthur
4.19 xG 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
23 Total Shots 13
10 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
477 Passes 309
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Basel vs Winterthur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Basel ran out comfortable winners over Winterthur 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Basel as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Basel had 58% of the ball to Winterthur's 42%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 4.19 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Basel had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Basel and 1.00 for Winterthur.

What was the final score of Basel vs Winterthur?

Basel 5-0 Winterthur in the Switzerland - Super League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basel vs Winterthur?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basel win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Basel 60%, draw 21%, Winterthur 19%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Basel), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Basel) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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