Buchbach 4-1 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.5
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.1
Over 2.5
48%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
25%
+3.3pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
44%
Away Win
51%
-6.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.7pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buchbach EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 56%
+2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.38/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.94
+8% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buchbach
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 8
20.07.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 2-0 HT 1-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
30.03.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-2 HT 0-0 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
15.09.2023 Buchbach Buchbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
21.05.2022 Buchbach Buchbach 5-2 HT 3-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
23.10.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-1 HT 1-1 Buchbach Buchbach ALMBÖL
23.11.2019 Buchbach Buchbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Buchbach vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buchbach ran out comfortable winners over Bayreuth 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bayreuth at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Buchbach had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Buchbach and 1.17 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Buchbach vs Bayreuth?

Buchbach 4-1 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buchbach vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bayreuth win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Buchbach 28%, draw 27%, Bayreuth 44%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bayreuth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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