Chapecoense 0-2 Novorizontino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 2 Nov 2024

Chapecoense
0-2 HT 0-1
Novorizontino
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Chapecoense vs Novorizontino Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.34
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.6pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.6pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chapecoense v Novorizontino — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Novorizontino EU Bookmakers 40%
-23% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -19%
0.98/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/0.88
-45% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
15.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
21.8 Crosses 25.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.5

Chapecoense vs Novorizontino Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Novorizontino
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.13 xG 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 Passes 307
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.07.2024 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-0 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
20.08.2023 Novorizontino Novorizontino 1-2 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
07.05.2023 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
11.08.2022 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-2 HT 1-1 Novorizontino Novorizontino BR2
27.04.2022 Novorizontino Novorizontino 0-3 HT 0-2 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2

Chapecoense 0-2 Novorizontino — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
0-2
AWAY Novorizontino
0.85 xG 0.44
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
335 Passes 181
70% Pass Accuracy 58%
13 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chapecoense vs Novorizontino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novorizontino saw off Chapecoense 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 35%) promised a tight game; Novorizontino found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chapecoense had 60% of the ball to Novorizontino's 40%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.85 to 0.44 — on chances, Chapecoense could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Chapecoense and 1.00 for Novorizontino.

What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Novorizontino?

Chapecoense 0-2 Novorizontino in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Novorizontino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novorizontino win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 34%, draw 31%, Novorizontino 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Novorizontino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Novorizontino) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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