Goias 1-0 Guarani FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.6
6+ Goals
8%
24.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.0pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.5pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 18%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -20%
1.73/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.27
+17% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
346 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 73%
24.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.4
21.4 Crosses 17.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Guarani FC
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.32 xG 1.24
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
211 Passes 370
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 3
21.07.2024 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Goias Goias BR2
23.11.2021 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Goias Goias BR2
14.08.2021 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
05.09.2018 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR2
19.05.2018 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
29.10.2017 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-0
AWAY Guarani FC
0.75 xG 1.62
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 9
275 Passes 378
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Goias vs Guarani FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias nicked a narrow win over Guarani FC 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Goias had 43% of the ball to Guarani FC's 57%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.75 to 1.62 — on chances, Guarani FC could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Goias and 0.83 for Guarani FC.

What was the final score of Goias vs Guarani FC?

Goias 1-0 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Guarani FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Goias 53%, draw 28%, Guarani FC 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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