Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
38%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.28
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.6 — our 25% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
48%
-12.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+11.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crewe Alexandra EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge EU Bookmakers 29%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.76/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/2.63
-59% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -35%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
Crosses 18.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crewe Alexandra
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
21.01.2012 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 4-1 HT 1-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İN2
01.10.2011 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-1 HT 0-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
16.01.2010 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge 2-0 HT 2-0 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra İN2
08.08.2009 Crewe Alexandra Crewe Alexandra 1-2 HT 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham & Redbridge İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crewe Alexandra
0-1
AWAY Dagenham & Redbridge
52% Ball Possession 48%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
0 Passes 0
POST-MATCH Crewe Alexandra vs Dagenham & Redbridge
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dagenham & Redbridge edged past Crewe Alexandra 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Dagenham & Redbridge found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Crewe Alexandra had 52% of the ball to Dagenham & Redbridge's 48%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dagenham & Redbridge led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Crewe Alexandra and 1.75 for Dagenham & Redbridge.

What was the final score of Crewe Alexandra vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Crewe Alexandra 0-1 Dagenham & Redbridge in the England - FA Cup on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crewe Alexandra vs Dagenham & Redbridge?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dagenham & Redbridge win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Crewe Alexandra 36%, draw 26%, Dagenham & Redbridge 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dagenham & Redbridge) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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