Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.76
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.1
X/1
15%
4.6
X/2
8%
7.23
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
11%
24.85
2/2
11%
5.21
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.29/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.97
+56% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
356 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
14.2 Crosses 12.2
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Suwon City
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.65 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
391 Passes 330
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-4 HT 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
09.07.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 HT 0-2 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
30.03.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-4 HT 0-3 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
02.10.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
13.09.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
17.06.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-0
AWAY Suwon City
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
332 Passes 481
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu squeezed past Suwon City 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gimcheon Sangmu as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 42% of the ball to Suwon City's 58%, shots finished 5-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suwon City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.83 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 47%, draw 26%, Suwon City 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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