Osijek 2-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.79
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
9%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
71%
-11.4pp
22%
Draw
18%
+4.0pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.65/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.65
-11% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
394 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.1
24.5 Crosses 13.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osijek
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.05
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
389 Passes 266
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.08.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-2 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
28.04.2024 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-3 HT 0-1 Osijek Osijek HIR
18.02.2024 Osijek Osijek 3-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
04.11.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 3-0 HT 1-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
20.08.2023 Osijek Osijek 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
08.04.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 2-0 HT 0-0 Osijek Osijek HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek
2-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.03 xG 0.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
445 Passes 340
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
26 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 12
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osijek vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osijek got the better of HNK Gorica 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Osijek as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Osijek had 54% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 46%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.03 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Osijek and 1.17 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

Osijek 2-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Osijek 60%, draw 22%, HNK Gorica 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osijek), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osijek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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