Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 33% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.2pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.14/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.26
+23% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
326 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
19.3 Crosses 20.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Slaven Belupo
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.82 xG 0.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
322 Passes 246
75% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 17
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
12.05.2024 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 2-1 HT 0-1 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
02.03.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 2-3 HT 0-2 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
16.01.2024 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb ARK
24.11.2023 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-3 HT 1-2 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo HIR
01.09.2023 Slaven Belupo Slaven Belupo 0-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb HIR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiva Zagreb
0-1
AWAY Slaven Belupo
0.77 xG 1.49
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 6
236 Passes 222
62% Pass Accuracy 66%
24 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slaven Belupo nicked a narrow win over Lokomotiva Zagreb 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotiva Zagreb at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Lokomotiva Zagreb had 53% of the ball to Slaven Belupo's 47%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 0.77 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotiva Zagreb had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiva Zagreb and 1.33 for Slaven Belupo.

What was the final score of Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-1 Slaven Belupo in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiva Zagreb win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiva Zagreb 43%, draw 26%, Slaven Belupo 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiva Zagreb) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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