HNK Gorica vs Osijek Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
HNK Gorica v Osijek — Team-Based Signals
HNK Gorica vs Osijek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Osijek
HIR
3-0
HT 1-0
Osijek
HIR
1-0
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
2-0
HT 0-0
Osijek
HIR
2-0
HT 1-0
HNK Gorica
HIR
HNK Gorica 2-2 Osijek — Actual Match Statistics
HNK Gorica and Osijek shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Osijek at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, HNK Gorica had 44% of the ball to Osijek's 56%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.62 to 1.06.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Osijek led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for HNK Gorica and 1.50 for Osijek.
What was the final score of HNK Gorica vs Osijek?
HNK Gorica 2-2 Osijek in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for HNK Gorica vs Osijek?
Before kick-off our model rated an Osijek win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split HNK Gorica 26%, draw 27%, Osijek 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.