Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hajduk Split v NK Varazdin — Team-Based Signals
Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 2-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
1-2
HT 1-1
Hajduk Split
HIR
2-0
HT 1-0
NK Varazdin
HIR
Hajduk Split 2-1 NK Varazdin — Actual Match Statistics
Hajduk Split squeezed past NK Varazdin 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Hajduk Split as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Hajduk Split had 54% of the ball to NK Varazdin's 46%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.13 to 0.87.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hajduk Split had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hajduk Split and 0.67 for NK Varazdin.
What was the final score of Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Hajduk Split 2-1 NK Varazdin in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hajduk Split vs NK Varazdin?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hajduk Split win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hajduk Split 51%, draw 26%, NK Varazdin 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hajduk Split) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.