Heracles 2-0 NAC Breda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Nov 2024

Heracles
2-0 HT 1-0
NAC Breda
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Heracles vs NAC Breda Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
14.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.03
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.0
X/1
14%
4.79
X/2
11%
6.62
X/X
14%
4.51
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
12%
4.77
2/X
6%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+1.7pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heracles v NAC Breda — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.60/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.43
-7% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -21%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
28.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
24.5 Crosses 17.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4

Heracles vs NAC Breda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
4W-0D-2L
AWAY NAC Breda
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.48 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 Passes 310
79% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.05.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 0-3 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL2
11.11.2022 Heracles Heracles 5-1 HT 3-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
06.04.2019 Heracles Heracles 1-0 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL
03.11.2018 NAC Breda NAC Breda 2-1 HT 1-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
07.02.2018 NAC Breda NAC Breda 6-1 HT 2-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
25.11.2017 Heracles Heracles 2-1 HT 2-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL

Heracles 2-0 NAC Breda — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
2-0
AWAY NAC Breda
1.36 xG 0.97
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
261 Passes 429
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Heracles vs NAC Breda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles got the better of NAC Breda 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Heracles as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Heracles had 41% of the ball to NAC Breda's 59%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.36 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Heracles and 1.67 for NAC Breda.

What was the final score of Heracles vs NAC Breda?

Heracles 2-0 NAC Breda in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs NAC Breda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Heracles 45%, draw 25%, NAC Breda 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heracles), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heracles) ✓ BTTS No
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