Willem II 0-1 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Nov 2024

Willem II
0-1 HT 0-0
Twente
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Willem II vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
45%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.17
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
12%
15.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 29% vs market 25.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.22
1/2
8%
25.5
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
12%
10.2
X/2
13%
3.95
X/X
13%
4.7
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.15
2/X
5%
14.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
19%
+10.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
45%
Away Win
55%
-9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.9pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Willem II v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Willem II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 59%
-6% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
0.75/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.17
-39% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +23%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
239 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 80%
13.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.4
16.2 Crosses 20.6
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Willem II vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Willem II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Twente
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.42 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 400
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.01.2022 Willem II Willem II 0-1 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
17.10.2021 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 1-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
06.03.2021 Twente Twente 1-1 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOL
17.10.2020 Willem II Willem II 0-3 HT 0-1 Twente Twente HOL
19.10.2019 Twente Twente 0-1 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL
23.01.2019 Twente Twente 2-3 HT 0-0 Willem II Willem II HOK

Willem II 0-1 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Willem II
0-1
AWAY Twente
0.62 xG 1.90
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
337 Passes 410
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 39
22 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Willem II vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente squeezed past Willem II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Willem II had 47% of the ball to Twente's 53%, shots finished 9-19, expected goals 0.62 to 1.90 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Twente's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Willem II and 1.33 for Twente.

What was the final score of Willem II vs Twente?

Willem II 0-1 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Willem II vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Willem II 30%, draw 25%, Twente 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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