Fortuna Sittard 3-0 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Nov 2024

Fortuna Sittard
3-0 HT 1-0
Heerenveen
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.54
6+ Goals
15%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.9
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
12.7
X/1
14%
4.76
X/2
11%
7.01
X/X
9%
4.51
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.02
2/X
10%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.8pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Sittard v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +15%
1.45/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.33
-12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
22.7 Crosses 17.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3

Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Sittard
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Heerenveen
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.42
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
280 Passes 407
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 3-3 HT 0-2 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
25.11.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
25.01.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
27.08.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-1 HT 2-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
05.02.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 2-0 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
18.09.2021 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL

Fortuna Sittard 3-0 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Sittard
3-0
AWAY Heerenveen
0.87 xG 0.57
35% Ball Possession 65%
6 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 8
233 Passes 500
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 22
7 Crosses 19
POST-MATCH Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Sittard ran out comfortable winners over Heerenveen 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Fortuna Sittard as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fortuna Sittard had 35% of the ball to Heerenveen's 65%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.87 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Fortuna Sittard and 1.50 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?

Fortuna Sittard 3-0 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Sittard vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Sittard win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Sittard 48%, draw 23%, Heerenveen 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Sittard), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Sittard) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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