Feyenoord 3-2 AZ Alkmaar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.95
Over 2.5
55%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.82
No
48%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.56
2-3 Goals
44%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
15%
3.94
X/2
9%
11.05
X/X
15%
5.08
2/1 EV+ ✓
13%
24.0
2/2
10%
8.66
2/X
7%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.0 — our 13% vs market 1.9%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.1pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY AZ Alkmaar EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.68/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.89
-7% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
359 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
25.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
19.3 Crosses 9.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Feyenoord
5W-0D-1L
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.30 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
397 Passes 347
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.02.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOK
04.02.2024 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 0-1 HT 0-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
12.11.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 1-0 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
18.02.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-1 HT 1-1 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar HOL
16.10.2022 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 1-3 HT 1-1 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
27.02.2022 AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar 2-1 HT 2-0 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Feyenoord
3-2
AWAY AZ Alkmaar
2.20 xG 1.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 0
449 Passes 240
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Feyenoord nicked a narrow win over AZ Alkmaar 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Feyenoord as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Feyenoord had 63% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar's 37%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 2.20 to 1.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Feyenoord had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Feyenoord and 0.67 for AZ Alkmaar.

What was the final score of Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?

Feyenoord 3-2 AZ Alkmaar in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Feyenoord win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Feyenoord 50%, draw 27%, AZ Alkmaar 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Feyenoord), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Feyenoord) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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