La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
La Equidad v Alianza Petrolera — Team-Based Signals
La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
La Equidad
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
1-2
HT 1-0
La Equidad
KOL
2-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Petrolera
KOL
La Equidad 3-2 Alianza Petrolera — Actual Match Statistics
La Equidad edged past Alianza Petrolera 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had La Equidad as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, La Equidad had 44% of the ball to Alianza Petrolera's 56%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.85 to 1.00.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, La Equidad had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for La Equidad and 0.67 for Alianza Petrolera.
What was the final score of La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera?
La Equidad 3-2 Alianza Petrolera in the Colombia - Primera on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Alianza Petrolera?
Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 47%, draw 30%, Alianza Petrolera 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.