Once Caldas 0-2 Fortaleza CEIF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.62
Over 2.5
38%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.5pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
58%
+4.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
42%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.1pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Once Caldas EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.41/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.30
-14% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 73%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.1 Crosses 15.9
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Once Caldas
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.52 xG 1.42
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 2
257 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Once Caldas Once Caldas 0-1 HT 0-0 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF KOLK
13.04.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-0 HT 0-0 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOL
10.04.2024 Fortaleza CEIF Fortaleza CEIF 2-1 HT 0-1 Once Caldas Once Caldas KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Once Caldas
0-2
AWAY Fortaleza CEIF
1.21 xG 0.64
49% Ball Possession 51%
19 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
263 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 7
29 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortaleza CEIF saw off Once Caldas 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Once Caldas at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Once Caldas had 49% of the ball to Fortaleza CEIF's 51%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.21 to 0.64 — on chances, Once Caldas could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fortaleza CEIF led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Once Caldas and 1.67 for Fortaleza CEIF.

What was the final score of Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Once Caldas 0-2 Fortaleza CEIF in the Colombia - Primera on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Once Caldas vs Fortaleza CEIF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Once Caldas win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Once Caldas 45%, draw 26%, Fortaleza CEIF 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Once Caldas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Once Caldas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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