Portimonense 1-1 Vizela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
18.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 32% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
38%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vizela EU Bookmakers 37%
-17% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.94/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.46
-73% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +35%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
291 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
31.1 Crosses 18.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Vizela
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.98 xG 0.93
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
270 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Portimonense Portimonense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
30.09.2023 Vizela Vizela 2-3 HT 0-2 Portimonense Portimonense POR
18.03.2023 Portimonense Portimonense 0-1 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
01.10.2022 Vizela Vizela 1-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR
27.02.2022 Vizela Vizela 1-1 HT 1-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR
26.09.2021 Portimonense Portimonense 0-0 HT 0-0 Vizela Vizela POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
1-1
AWAY Vizela
1.61 xG 1.49
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
108 Passes 386
55% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Vizela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense and Vizela shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Portimonense had 31% of the ball to Vizela's 69%, shots finished 8-15, expected goals 1.61 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vizela led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Portimonense and 0.83 for Vizela.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Vizela?

Portimonense 1-1 Vizela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Vizela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 34%, draw 32%, Vizela 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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