West Ham United vs Newcastle United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United v Newcastle United — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United vs Newcastle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-0
Newcastle United
İNP
1-5
HT 1-2
Newcastle United
İNP
1-1
HT 1-1
West Ham United
İNP
West Ham United 3-1 Newcastle United — Actual Match Statistics
West Ham United saw off Newcastle United 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Newcastle United at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, West Ham United had 37% of the ball to Newcastle United's 63%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newcastle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for West Ham United and 2.17 for Newcastle United.
What was the final score of West Ham United vs Newcastle United?
West Ham United 3-1 Newcastle United in the England - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Newcastle United?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle United win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 23%, draw 23%, Newcastle United 54%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Newcastle United), BTTS No went the other way.