Lecco 5-1 Arzignano Valchiampo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.96
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
47%
-3.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lecco EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.70/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.97
+31% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lecco
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.02.2025 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 2-0 HT 1-0 Lecco Lecco İTC
25.09.2024 Lecco Lecco 3-2 HT 0-2 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
26.02.2023 Lecco Lecco 2-1 HT 1-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
23.10.2022 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo 0-2 HT 0-1 Lecco Lecco İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lecco
5-1
AWAY Arzignano Valchiampo
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lecco vs Arzignano Valchiampo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lecco ran out comfortable winners over Arzignano Valchiampo 5-1. Half-time: 4-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lecco as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Lecco had 55% of the ball to Arzignano Valchiampo's 45%, shots finished 8-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lecco had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Lecco and 1.25 for Arzignano Valchiampo.

What was the final score of Lecco vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Lecco 5-1 Arzignano Valchiampo in the Italy - Serie C on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lecco vs Arzignano Valchiampo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lecco win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lecco 44%, draw 26%, Arzignano Valchiampo 31%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecco) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lecco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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