Independiente 3-0 Atletico Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.13
No
53%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
4.81
6+ Goals
8%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.46
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
9%
15.4
X/1
16%
4.05
X/2
9%
8.64
X/X
10%
4.09
2/1
12%
29.0
2/2
10%
7.74
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
52%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.6pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
43%
+4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
57%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 24%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -30%
1.25/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.41
+0% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 72%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
19.6 Crosses 15.6
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.40 xG 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
360 Passes 186
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
27 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.05.2025 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
10.12.2024 Independiente Independiente 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
01.04.2024 Independiente Independiente 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
05.11.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-2 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
23.07.2023 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 1-0 HT 1-0 Independiente Independiente ARJ
24.07.2022 Independiente Independiente 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente
3-0
AWAY Atletico Tucuman
1.79 xG 0.63
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
406 Passes 217
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente swept aside Atletico Tucuman 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Independiente as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Independiente had 62% of the ball to Atletico Tucuman's 38%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.79 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Independiente and 1.17 for Atletico Tucuman.

What was the final score of Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman?

Independiente 3-0 Atletico Tucuman in the Argentina - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente vs Atletico Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Independiente 52%, draw 25%, Atletico Tucuman 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Independiente), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Independiente) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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