OH Leuven 4-0 Gent — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.29
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
13.0
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 25% vs market 23.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.38
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
29.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.33
X/2
9%
6.17
X/X
13%
4.74
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
19%
4.22
2/X
8%
13.2
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.5 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.3pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gent EU Bookmakers 37%
+8% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.36/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.55
+13% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
15.6 Crosses 15.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME OH Leuven
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gent
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.93 xG 1.80
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
247 Passes 453
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.01.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-0 HT 0-0 Gent Gent BEL
29.09.2024 Gent Gent 3-0 HT 2-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
12.05.2024 Gent Gent 0-1 HT 0-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
14.04.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 2-1 HT 2-1 Gent Gent BEL
21.12.2023 Gent Gent 4-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
17.09.2023 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-1 HT 1-1 Gent Gent BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME OH Leuven
4-0
AWAY Gent
1.42 xG 2.30
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 9
257 Passes 444
78% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH OH Leuven vs Gent
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

OH Leuven ran out comfortable winners over Gent 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day OH Leuven made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, OH Leuven had 39% of the ball to Gent's 61%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.42 to 2.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Gent.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for OH Leuven and 1.50 for Gent.

What was the final score of OH Leuven vs Gent?

OH Leuven 4-0 Gent in the Belgium - Pro League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for OH Leuven vs Gent?

Before kick-off our model rated a OH Leuven win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split OH Leuven 36%, draw 29%, Gent 35%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (OH Leuven), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (OH Leuven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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