PSM Makassar 1-1 Madura United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-4.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Madura United EU Bookmakers 22%
-16% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -8%
1.17/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.76
-27% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Madura United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
287 Passes 329
1 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2025 Madura United Madura United 1-3 HT 0-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
18.10.2024 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 2-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
21.04.2024 Madura United Madura United 2-0 HT 2-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
15.12.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 0-1 HT 0-1 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
08.01.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 1-0 HT 1-0 Madura United Madura United ENDL1
12.09.2021 Madura United Madura United 1-1 HT 0-1 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Madura United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar and Madura United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for PSM Makassar and 0.83 for Madura United.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Madura United?

PSM Makassar 1-1 Madura United in the Indonesia League 1 on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Madura United?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 52%, draw 23%, Madura United 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (PSM Makassar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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