Jubilo Iwata 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.92
6+ Goals
12%
9.03
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
12%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
26%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
47%
Away Win
49%
-1.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.4pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.2pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 53%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +7%
0.94/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.99
-9% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -2%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
281 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.7 Crosses 26.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jubilo Iwata
2W-1D-3L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
405 Passes 293
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
17.04.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JLK
01.10.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-0 HT 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
27.05.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
20.11.2021 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-2 HT 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
26.06.2021 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-1 HT 0-0 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jubilo Iwata
1-0
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
205 Passes 429
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jubilo Iwata vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata squeezed past V-Varen Nagasaki 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was V-Varen Nagasaki at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Jubilo Iwata had 36% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 64%, shots finished 15-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jubilo Iwata and 1.00 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Jubilo Iwata vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Jubilo Iwata 1-0 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jubilo Iwata vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Jubilo Iwata 28%, draw 24%, V-Varen Nagasaki 47%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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