Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.86
6+ Goals
9%
17.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 32% vs market 29.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.6pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 39%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +0%
1.12/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.20
-5% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
363 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.0 Crosses 15.6
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
285 Passes 266
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.03.2025 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
20.10.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
03.04.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
12.11.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 HT 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
11.03.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
18.07.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roasso Kumamoto
0-1
AWAY Renofa Yamaguchi
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
221 Passes 223
64% Pass Accuracy 62%
17 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renofa Yamaguchi nicked a narrow win over Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Renofa Yamaguchi found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Roasso Kumamoto had 49% of the ball to Renofa Yamaguchi's 51%, shots finished 11-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Roasso Kumamoto and 0.67 for Renofa Yamaguchi.

What was the final score of Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Roasso Kumamoto 0-1 Renofa Yamaguchi in the Japan - J2 League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roasso Kumamoto vs Renofa Yamaguchi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Renofa Yamaguchi win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Roasso Kumamoto 36%, draw 28%, Renofa Yamaguchi 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Renofa Yamaguchi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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