Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒07:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.61
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
19.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
38%
-2.5pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
38%
Away Win
33%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto EU Bookmakers 37%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +2%
1.25/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.69/1.08
-5% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
404 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 28.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
290 Passes 293
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
03.04.2024 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-2 HT 0-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
12.11.2023 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 3-1 HT 2-1 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
11.03.2023 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-3 HT 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
18.07.2022 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto 1-0 HT 0-0 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi JAP2
20.02.2022 Renofa Yamaguchi Renofa Yamaguchi 1-1 HT 1-0 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renofa Yamaguchi
0-1
AWAY Roasso Kumamoto
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
243 Passes 277
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
26 Crosses 12
POST-MATCH Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roasso Kumamoto edged past Renofa Yamaguchi 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 38% — and on the day Roasso Kumamoto made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Renofa Yamaguchi had 45% of the ball to Roasso Kumamoto's 55%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roasso Kumamoto led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Renofa Yamaguchi and 1.83 for Roasso Kumamoto.

What was the final score of Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Renofa Yamaguchi 0-1 Roasso Kumamoto in the Japan - J2 League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renofa Yamaguchi vs Roasso Kumamoto?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roasso Kumamoto win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Renofa Yamaguchi 36%, draw 27%, Roasso Kumamoto 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roasso Kumamoto) ✓ Under 2.5
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