Ventforet Kofu 1-2 JEF United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.31
6+ Goals
10%
12.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 29% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
27%
+10.9pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ventforet Kofu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY JEF United EU Bookmakers 51%
+5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.32/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.29
+26% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.3 Crosses 11.6
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ventforet Kofu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY JEF United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
602 Passes 233
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 JEF United JEF United 2-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
12.05.2024 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 2-2 HT 1-0 JEF United JEF United JAP2
01.07.2023 JEF United JEF United 2-1 HT 1-1 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
13.05.2023 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 0-1 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
17.08.2022 JEF United JEF United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu JAP2
11.06.2022 Ventforet Kofu Ventforet Kofu 1-1 HT 0-1 JEF United JEF United JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ventforet Kofu
1-2
AWAY JEF United
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
296 Passes 338
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ventforet Kofu vs JEF United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

JEF United nicked a narrow win over Ventforet Kofu 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 24% / 38% — and on the day JEF United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Ventforet Kofu had 47% of the ball to JEF United's 53%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, JEF United led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Ventforet Kofu and 1.33 for JEF United.

What was the final score of Ventforet Kofu vs JEF United?

Ventforet Kofu 1-2 JEF United in the Japan - J2 League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ventforet Kofu vs JEF United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ventforet Kofu win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Ventforet Kofu 38%, draw 24%, JEF United 38%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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