Vegalta Sendai 2-3 Jubilo Iwata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.64
Over 2.5
47%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.52
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.16
6+ Goals
9%
21.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
57%
-4.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
43%
+4.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vegalta Sendai EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Jubilo Iwata EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
1.13/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.06
-14% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.1 Crosses 24.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vegalta Sendai
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.50 xG 1.36
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 5
338 Passes 404
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 26
22 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.08.2023 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 4-1 HT 2-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP2
11.06.2023 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-3 HT 1-2 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP2
03.08.2019 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai 2-1 HT 2-1 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata JAP
18.05.2019 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 2-0 HT 2-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
24.10.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 1-1 HT 1-0 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JPK
05.08.2018 Jubilo Iwata Jubilo Iwata 3-2 HT 1-1 Vegalta Sendai Vegalta Sendai JAP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vegalta Sendai
2-3
AWAY Jubilo Iwata
46% Ball Possession 54%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
348 Passes 428
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jubilo Iwata squeezed past Vegalta Sendai 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Jubilo Iwata found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Vegalta Sendai had 46% of the ball to Jubilo Iwata's 54%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jubilo Iwata led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Vegalta Sendai and 2.33 for Jubilo Iwata.

What was the final score of Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata?

Vegalta Sendai 2-3 Jubilo Iwata in the Japan - J2 League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vegalta Sendai vs Jubilo Iwata?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vegalta Sendai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Vegalta Sendai 38%, draw 27%, Jubilo Iwata 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Vegalta Sendai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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