V-Varen Nagasaki 5-1 Blaublitz Akita — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.29
6+ Goals
11%
12.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.8pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Blaublitz Akita EU Bookmakers 23%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +20%
2.27/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.29
+32% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +14%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
401 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.9 Crosses 16.1
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
246 Passes 150
70% Pass Accuracy 59%
10 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.10.2024 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 1-2 HT 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
03.05.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 HT 0-1 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
16.09.2023 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
22.04.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-2 HT 4-1 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
25.06.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
17.04.2022 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 0-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME V-Varen Nagasaki
5-1
AWAY Blaublitz Akita
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
451 Passes 186
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Crosses 22
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH V-Varen Nagasaki vs Blaublitz Akita
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki ran out comfortable winners over Blaublitz Akita 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had V-Varen Nagasaki as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, V-Varen Nagasaki had 65% of the ball to Blaublitz Akita's 35%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 0.83 for Blaublitz Akita.

What was the final score of V-Varen Nagasaki vs Blaublitz Akita?

V-Varen Nagasaki 5-1 Blaublitz Akita in the Japan - J2 League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for V-Varen Nagasaki vs Blaublitz Akita?

Before kick-off our model rated a V-Varen Nagasaki win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split V-Varen Nagasaki 49%, draw 24%, Blaublitz Akita 27%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (V-Varen Nagasaki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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