Blaublitz Akita 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J2 League, 20 Oct 2024

Blaublitz Akita
1-2 HT 1-2
V-Varen Nagasaki
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Japan - J2 League – 2024

Blaublitz Akita vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.0
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.89
6+ Goals
10%
17.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 29% vs market 27.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.1pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blaublitz Akita v V-Varen Nagasaki — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blaublitz Akita EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.05/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.24
-14% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
233 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
23.0 Crosses 17.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.2

Blaublitz Akita vs V-Varen Nagasaki Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blaublitz Akita
0W-4D-2L
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.05.2024 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 2-2 HT 0-1 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
16.09.2023 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 0-0 HT 0-0 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
22.04.2023 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 4-2 HT 4-1 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
25.06.2022 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita JAP2
17.04.2022 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 0-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2
22.08.2021 Blaublitz Akita Blaublitz Akita 1-1 HT 0-1 V-Varen Nagasaki V-Varen Nagasaki JAP2

Blaublitz Akita 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blaublitz Akita
1-2
AWAY V-Varen Nagasaki
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
150 Passes 246
59% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Crosses 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Blaublitz Akita vs V-Varen Nagasaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

V-Varen Nagasaki edged past Blaublitz Akita 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; V-Varen Nagasaki found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blaublitz Akita had 43% of the ball to V-Varen Nagasaki's 57%, shots finished 16-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, V-Varen Nagasaki led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Blaublitz Akita and 1.33 for V-Varen Nagasaki.

What was the final score of Blaublitz Akita vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Blaublitz Akita 1-2 V-Varen Nagasaki in the Japan - J2 League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blaublitz Akita vs V-Varen Nagasaki?

Before kick-off our model rated a Blaublitz Akita win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Blaublitz Akita 40%, draw 25%, V-Varen Nagasaki 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Blaublitz Akita) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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