Atletico Grau 1-1 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 2 Nov 2025

📅02/11/2025 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.52
Over 2.5
42%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
34%
+7.1pp
27%
Draw
31%
-4.3pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.3pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Grau EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 38%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.20/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.64
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 76%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
15.5 Crosses 22.9
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Grau
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 1.49
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
250 Passes 164
76% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.06.2025 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
14.07.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
28.01.2024 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
08.10.2023 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau 1-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
27.05.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
09.10.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 4-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Grau Atletico Grau PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Grau
1-1
AWAY Alianza Atletico
0.93 xG 1.32
69% Ball Possession 31%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
406 Passes 124
81% Pass Accuracy 60%
13 Box Touches 17
11 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Grau and Alianza Atletico shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Atletico Grau at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Atletico Grau had 69% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 31%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.93 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Atletico Grau and 1.83 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico?

Atletico Grau 1-1 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 02/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Grau vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Grau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Atletico Grau 41%, draw 27%, Alianza Atletico 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Atletico Grau), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Grau) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PER More Peru - Premier League
2 Nov 2025
02:00 Deportivo Garcilaso vs ADT Analysis →
21:00 Alianza Universidad vs Cusco FC Analysis →