Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Alianza Atletico v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Alianza Atletico 2-1 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Atletico Grau 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (63%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Alianza Atletico had 49% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 51%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.71 to 1.50.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.00 for Atletico Grau.
Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau Result & Final Score
Alianza Atletico 2 - 1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 43%, draw 32%, Atletico Grau 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.