Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Atletico v Atletico Grau — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Atletico
PER
3-2
HT 2-1
Atletico Grau
PER
4-1
HT 1-1
Atletico Grau
PER
1-2
HT 1-2
Alianza Atletico
PER
Alianza Atletico 2-1 Atletico Grau — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Atletico nicked a narrow win over Atletico Grau 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Atletico had 49% of the ball to Atletico Grau's 51%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.71 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.00 for Atletico Grau.
What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau?
Alianza Atletico 2-1 Atletico Grau in the Peru - Premier League on 29/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs Atletico Grau?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 41%, draw 32%, Atletico Grau 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.